January 2007



Likelihood of a civil war. * Age. Crosstabulation
% within Age.


Age. Total
18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 70 72 73 75 78 80 85 99
Likelihood of a civil war. Very likely 10.7% 15.7% 21.6% 16.0% 32.3% 31.3% 17.6% 8.3% 12.5%
13.0% 18.8% 16.1%
13.0% 5.6%
14.8% 12.5% 20.0% 5.3% 16.7% 8.5% 11.1% 9.1% 11.8%
11.8% 8.3%
10.0% 14.3% 4.2%








7.1%



33.3% 50.0%

16.7%





3.6% 11.5%
Likely 46.4% 37.3% 37.8% 44.0% 35.5% 25.0% 35.3% 33.3% 43.8% 47.6% 21.7% 31.3% 29.0% 50.0% 30.4% 27.8% 30.0% 29.6% 25.0% 33.3% 26.3% 33.3% 36.2%
18.2% 41.2% 55.6% 29.4% 50.0% 20.0% 40.0% 28.6% 33.3%

60.0% 28.6% 35.3% 25.0% 33.3%

21.4%
16.7%

16.7%
25.0%
16.7%


100.0% 66.7%
28.6% 32.0%
Unlikely 28.6% 23.5% 32.4% 32.0% 22.6% 25.0% 35.3% 45.8% 31.3% 33.3% 43.5% 37.5% 38.7% 33.3% 43.5% 44.4% 50.0% 44.4% 50.0% 26.7% 63.2% 33.3% 40.4% 44.4% 59.1% 29.4% 33.3% 17.6% 25.0% 53.3% 50.0% 42.9% 41.7% 100.0% 33.3% 20.0% 28.6% 52.9% 50.0%
20.0% 50.0% 50.0% 50.0% 83.3% 75.0% 50.0% 33.3% 50.0% 50.0% 25.0% 33.3%

50.0%

100.0% 42.9% 38.1%
Very unlikely 14.3% 23.5% 8.1% 8.0% 9.7% 18.8% 11.8% 12.5% 12.5% 19.0% 21.7% 12.5% 16.1% 16.7% 13.0% 22.2% 20.0% 11.1% 12.5% 20.0% 5.3% 16.7% 14.9% 44.4% 13.6% 17.6% 11.1% 41.2% 16.7% 26.7%
14.3% 20.8%
66.7% 20.0% 42.9% 11.8% 25.0% 66.7% 80.0% 50.0% 21.4% 50.0%
25.0% 50.0% 16.7%
25.0% 75.0% 33.3% 100.0% 100.0% 50.0%
33.3%
25.0% 18.4%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Chi-Square Tests

Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)
Pearson Chi-Square 184.864(a) 174 .272
Likelihood Ratio 193.727 174 .146
Linear-by-Linear Association 27.698 1 .000
N of Valid Cases 800

a 174 cells (73.7%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .12.