February 2007



The likelihood of a civil war since the Mecca Agreement. * Factional trust. Crosstabulation
% within Factional trust.


Factional trust. Total
Hamas Fateh PFLP Islamic Jihad Others I trust no faction
The likelihood of a civil war since the Mecca Agreement. Increased 5.2% 9.7% 6.3%

11.3% 8.5%
Decreased 80.9% 71.7% 68.8% 90.9% 87.5% 76.1% 76.3%
Remained the same 13.9% 18.6% 25.0% 9.1% 12.5% 12.6% 15.2%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Chi-Square Tests

Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)
Pearson Chi-Square 13.692(a) 10 .187
Likelihood Ratio 16.032 10 .099
Linear-by-Linear Association 4.191 1 .041
N of Valid Cases 704

a 6 cells (33.3%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .94.