May 2007



Liklihood of a civil war * Factional Trust Crosstabulation
% within Factional Trust


Factional Trust Total
Hamas Fateh PFLP Islamic Jihad Others I trust no faction
Liklihood of a civil war Very likely 18.5% 22.1% 44.4% 37.5% 16.7% 30.9% 27.2%
Likely 33.3% 39.8% 44.4% 50.0% 50.0% 37.4% 38.1%
Unlikely 36.1% 33.7% 5.6% 8.3% 33.3% 25.0% 27.9%
Very unlikely` 12.0% 4.4% 5.6% 4.2%
6.7% 6.8%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Chi-Square Tests

Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)
Pearson Chi-Square 30.958(a) 15 .009
Likelihood Ratio 33.287 15 .004
Linear-by-Linear Association 4.644 1 .031
N of Valid Cases 709

a 7 cells (29.2%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .41.