March 2007



The likelihood of a civil war since the Mecca Agreement. * Factional trust. Crosstabulation
% within Factional trust.


Factional trust. Total
Hamas Fateh PFLP Islamic Jihad Others 6 No faction
The likelihood of a civil war since the Mecca Agreement. Increased 5.1% 7.5% 13.6% 11.8% 22.2%
12.6% 9.0%
Decreased 89.1% 81.0% 59.1% 70.6% 61.1%
77.5% 80.5%
Remained the same 5.7% 11.5% 27.3% 17.6% 16.7% 100.0% 9.9% 10.5%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Chi-Square Tests

Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)
Pearson Chi-Square 34.483(a) 12 .001
Likelihood Ratio 28.516 12 .005
Linear-by-Linear Association 2.233 1 .135
N of Valid Cases 676

a 9 cells (42.9%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is .09.