May 2007



Liklihood of a civil war * Poverty level Crosstabulation
% within Poverty level


Poverty level Total
Hardship cases Below the poverty line Above the poverty line
Liklihood of a civil war Very likely 29.4% 26.1% 27.6% 27.7%
Likely 36.2% 33.5% 42.2% 37.6%
Unlikely 30.8% 31.2% 24.6% 28.6%
Very unlikely` 3.6% 9.2% 5.6% 6.1%
Total 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

Chi-Square Tests

Value df Asymp. Sig. (2-sided)
Pearson Chi-Square 11.095(a) 6 .085
Likelihood Ratio 11.039 6 .087
Linear-by-Linear Association .025 1 .874
N of Valid Cases 707

a 0 cells (.0%) have expected count less than 5. The minimum expected count is 13.26.